Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 269.910703 305.696019 345.774783 394.239960 451.593167 517.713383 600.305857
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 225.584762 274.320966 334.138016 414.026857 519.577117 656.657377 852.225326
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 194.913513 247.661822 316.233789 413.918068 552.914048 749.139470 1057.772787
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 169.511322 222.512759 294.449700 402.130782 564.566620 809.938799 1228.862770
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 150.531749 202.923623 276.606105 391.583277 573.930489 866.253661 1403.853480
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 141.316185 195.559479 274.588961 403.204041 617.982606 984.586480 1715.588550
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 131.258782 185.641705 267.254308 404.909170 645.296327 1079.069455 2010.349945
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 120.610262 173.650855 255.214102 396.955866 654.049037 1140.826066 2256.879778
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 113.230440 165.916480 248.917360 397.544571 677.739679 1235.390881 2606.611771
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 105.013911 156.095912 238.179418 388.856031 682.270303 1291.643750 2884.783435
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 99.033386 149.347280 231.835673 387.150072 699.926149 1379.332928 3277.172529
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 90.957903 138.538318 217.634422 369.220179 681.794797 1382.896067 3438.426588
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 89.061585 138.031667 221.449895 386.428129 741.418748 1585.831052 4297.450140
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 87.633928 138.207240 226.502485 406.823077 812.350444 1839.015054 5483.422277
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 83.460559 133.256407 221.727099 406.619509 836.026622 1974.713150 6340.731411
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 78.211114 126.024290 212.088630 395.100968 830.677759 2027.837988 6907.657735
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 73.580055 119.596304 203.460959 384.783946 826.671172 2084.512717 7535.925991
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 71.895006 118.388820 204.722245 396.149953 879.911747 2334.403181 9291.838425
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 69.234377 115.192702 201.813669 397.817526 908.019169 2513.316783 10872.204041
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 65.775162 110.285232 195.118613 390.039020 908.984465 2600.178686 12021.707341
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 63.426760 107.331081 192.135362 390.614818 933.711665 2782.004607 14000.996412
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 60.358732 102.822683 185.644895 382.116279 930.693762 2859.172063 15364.295589
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 58.144032 99.838572 182.107227 380.447499 947.950215 3023.885635 17654.897708